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Entries in Forecast (7)

Thursday
Aug092012

Hurricane Season Forecast Above Normal

Satellite image of Hurricane Ernesto taken on Aug. 7, 2012 in the Gulf of Mexico.. NOAA(WASHINGTON) -- NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, updating its forecast, said today that this year’s Atlantic hurricane season is likely to be above average.

The center said it was now predicting there would be 12 to 17 named storms, 5 to 8 of them hurricanes.  It raised the numbers partly because of the number of storms we have already seen this year.

“This year’s Atlantic hurricane season got off to a busy start, with 6 named storms to date,” said NOAA in a statement.  “The updated outlook still indicates a 50 percent chance of a near-normal season, but increases the chance of an above-normal season to 35 percent.”

Already, the Atlantic has seen tropical storms Alberto, Beryl, Debbie and Florence, and hurricanes Chris and Ernesto.

Based on that, the Climate Prediction Center said it now anticipates 12 to 17 storms with top winds of 39 mph or higher. Of those, it is predicted we will see 5-8 hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), 2-3 of which could be major hurricanes. Major hurricanes are Category 3, 4, or 5 and have winds of at least 111 mph.

According to NOAA, the average Atlantic hurricane season produces 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

The Climate Prediction Center is increasing the number of expected storms due to wind patterns and warmer-than-average ocean temperatures, according to Gerry Bell, the center’s lead forecaster.

“These conditions are linked to the ongoing high activity era for Atlantic hurricanes that began in 1995. Also, strong early-season activity is generally indicative of a more active season,” Bell said.

At the same time, forecasters predict that an El Niño — a giant patch of unusually warm water in the equatorial Pacific that affects global weather patterns — will develop in August or September.

“El Niño is a competing factor, because it strengthens the vertical wind shear over the Atlantic, which suppresses storm development,” Bell said. “However, we don’t expect El Niño’s influence until later in the season.”

NOAA’s National Weather Service said regardless of predictions, it is important to take the proper steps to be ready for severe weather.

For more information on how to prepare for hurricane season, visit www.ready.gov.

Copyright 2012 ABC News Radio

Tuesday
Dec272011

Storm to Bring Snow, Rain, Strong Winds to Parts of East

Comstock/Thinkstock(NEW YORK) -- An intensifying storm system will move out of the Ohio Valley and into the eastern Great Lakes and the northeast Tuesday, spreading rain over major cities from Washington, D.C., to Boston during the afternoon.  Most areas will see approximately an inch of rain, while flash flooding is possible in some low-lying areas.

Some severe weather is possible from Richmond, Va., to Jacksonville, Fla., with gusting winds near 70 mph. A few isolated tornadoes could develop in some of the strongest storms.  There is also a chance for some minor flash flooding in parts of the southeast on Tuesday.

As the system moves across Pennsylvania and New York, surface winds will increase to 40-to-50 mph with higher gusts along the coast.  Wind advisories have already been issued from Delaware to Maine.

Light snow is expected on the back side of the storm, but not much for this time of the year.  Areas around Detroit, Cleveland and Pittsburgh could see 1-2 inches of snow, while those near Erie, Pa., to Buffalo, N.Y., and into the Adirondacks could see 4-6 inches of snow. The highest elevations in the Adirondacks could get up to 8 inches.

The quick-moving system will be out of the northeast by mid-Wednesday morning, only to be followed by colder temps and gusting winds Wednesday afternoon.

Copyright 2011 ABC News Radio

Monday
Dec262011

Storm Brewing: Snow, Rainfall Forecast for Parts of the East

iStockphoto/Thinkstock(NEW YORK) -- An intensifying storm is moving out of the Gulf Coast through the Ohio Valley and is forecast to hit the northeast Tuesday afternoon.

Severe weather, including flash floods, tornadoes, and gusting winds are possible Monday into Tuesday along the Gulf Coast into Florida and the Carolinas.

One-to-three inches of rain is possible from Washington, D.C., to Boston on Tuesday afternoon and into the evening hours. Areas from Detroit to Cleveland and into western New York and upstate Vermont could see snow, with accumulations from a couple of inches in Detroit and Cleveland to nearly 10 inches in the mountains around New York and Pennsylvania.

Copyright 2011 ABC News Radio

Tuesday
Dec202011

Weekend Weather Scenarios: Will Your Christmas Be White?

Altrendo Images/Thinkstock(NEW YORK) -- Parts of the West have been hit by a deadly winter storm that has been blamed for at least six deaths, and a nor’easter could threaten the East in the next several days.

A cold winter blast has pummeled the Great Plains. In the last 24 hours, 24 inches of snow was reported in New Mexico with winds gusting over 70 mph in the mountains. All major highways in New Mexico were shut down, but not before a car crash killed four and injured two others.

More than 100 car rescues were reported from the pan handle of Texas to New Mexico.

Kansas and Oklahoma have up to a foot of snow, as does Colorado, where 10-foot snow drifts are being reported. Parts of southwest Kansas received half of their annual snow fall -- 5-10 inches of snow -- with gusty winds blowing the snow into 1-3 foot drifts.

As it moves east now, the storm is weakening and becoming mostly a rain maker, with some thunderstorms along the Gulf Coast. Some storms could produce heavy rain with minor flooding, gusty winds and hail.

Wednesday morning, the storm will reach the East Coast in the form of rain from Atlanta to Boston. Airport delays are possible. Thursday will be dry, but another storm system will bring rain to the major cities along the East Coast on Friday with temperatures near 50 degrees. Saturday, a third storm could bring some snow to parts of the Northeast. Here are three possible scenarios for the Christmas weekend:

Scenario #1:  Mostly snow just outside of major cities with rain changing to snow from D.C. to Boston.
Scenario #2:   All rain along the coast with snow inland in places like Poconos, Catskills and mountains of New England.
Scenario #3:  The storm will move south and miss the Northeast region altogether.

Copyright 2011 ABC News Radio

Monday
Dec192011

Blinding Blizzards Hit Plains; Rain Expected for Northeast

Christophe Lehenaff/Getty Images(WASHINGTON) -- As residents of several states in the southern Plains woke up Monday to snow, forecasters urged those in the storm’s path to take a break from the holiday shopping and stay home.

“Don’t venture out,” Tom Kines, a senior meteorologist for Accuweather, said Monday. “Wait 'till Wednesday to get it. You shouldn’t be traveling.”

According to Accuweather, the Southern Plains -- New Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma, Colorado and Kansas -- are under a blizzard warning starting today, as rains change to snow this evening.

KOAT-TV, ABC News affiliate in Albuquerque, N.M., on its website reported whiteout conditions and icy roads.

Kines said that some areas in the southern Plains could get six to 12 inches while others could get as much as 18 as the system moved east.

“It is going to be very bad, especially tonight,” he told ABC News. “It’s a nasty storm.”

Kines said the combination of snow and wind would cause extreme blowing, drifting and zero visibility. Accuweather said winds of more than 70 mph, tornadoes and damaging hail also should be expected.

The snow will change to rain once it hits the Northeast, though Kines said parts of Central and Western Pennsylvania and cities in the Northeast interior like Albany, N.Y., could get frozen precipitation and experience some icy roads.

Of course, those on the East Coast shouldn’t give up on getting a bit of that cold, white stuff Sunday. Accuweather experts are keeping an eye on another system that could arrive Saturday.

Kines said interior parts of the Northeast had a shot at snow, while cities like New York, Boston and Philadelphia would likely get a mix of rain and snow.

Copyright 2011 ABC News Radio

Monday
Jul182011

Midwest Continues to Bake as Heat Wave Moves East

Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images(WASHINGTON) -- A dangerous heat wave continues to hover over the central part of the U.S. and is expected to spread eastward over the next few days. Forecasters say the scorching temps will be sticking around well into next week.

Heat index values in the Midwest are expected to stay planted in the triple digits, making it feel like at least 100 degrees and higher throughout the afternoon Monday.

Minneapolis will feel like it's 118 degrees; the average temperature for this time in July is in the mid-80s.

The oppressive heat has caused many problems for people who live in places that don't normally record such high temperatures.

The rising mercury coupled with the stifling humidity has sent six people to the hospital in Iowa; the top recorded temperature in that state reached 99 degrees on Sunday in Council Bluffs. The average temperature for this time of year is 88 degrees.

Meanwhile, elsewhere in the state, authorities say two homes got so hot their smoke detectors were tripped, triggering false alarms.

Asphalt at a major intersection in western Oklahoma buckled on Saturday night from the intense heat -- temperatures there have reached 100 degrees or higher 27 times already this year.

The heat is also affecting local wildlife in Texas. Researchers found that many does are unable to carry fawns to term in this weather, causing premature births.

Government officials and business owners are doing what they can to help people keep cool.

City officials have opened cooling centers in Chicago, where temperatures are expected to hit 105 degrees. Cooling centers have also been opened in Detroit to help residents who don't have air conditioning in their homes.

Seventeen states from Texas to Michigan have reported heat advisories and warnings.

Copyright 2011 ABC News Radio

Thursday
May192011

Hurricane Outlook Shows Stormy Season Ahead

Sandy Huffaker/Getty Images(WASHINGTON) -- Forecasters are predicting an above normal Atlantic hurricane season this year, with up to 10 hurricanes and between 12 to 18 named storms. As many as six of those could become major storms -- with winds faster than 111 miles per hour -- the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said Thursday.

Hurricane season begins June 1. Coastal residents are urged to have a disaster plan ready.

Copyright 2011 ABC News Radio







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