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Wednesday
Jun292016

FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver Predicts Clinton Wins Election Against Trump

ABC/Ida Mae Astute(NEW YORK) -- FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver predicted on ABC's Good Morning America Wednesday that Hillary Clinton will win the general election against Donald Trump.

Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the election, compared to Trump's 20 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight’s forecast.

"We're at halftime of the election right now," Silver said. "She's taking a seven-point, maybe a ten-point lead into half time. There's a lot of football left to be played. She's ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll."

Silver said "both candidates have a lot of room to grow," but historically the only candidate to blow a lead like the one Clinton holds now was former Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis in 1988.

"Trump has never been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign," Silver said. "He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary -- a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent."

Silver called 49 out of 50 states correctly in the 2008 election and got all 50 states correct in the 2012 election.

FiveThirtyEight launches its general election forecast later Wednesday here.

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