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Entries in Enthusiasm (1)

Tuesday
Oct052010

2010 Forecast: Enthusiasm Gap Still Favors GOP

Photo Courtesy - Getty Images(WASHINGTON) -- Despite attempts by President Obama to rouse his base, the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll shows Republicans are still more “fired up” than Democrats.

When asked if they were “certain” to vote this year, 77 percent of Republicans said yes, compared to just 61 percent of Democrats. This 16-point advantage for the GOP is unchanged from last month.

Independent voters showed a jump in enthusiasm from September. Today, 74 percent say they are “certain” to vote -- up from 69 percent last month. That’s not good news for Democrats, however, as independents are leaning decidedly toward the GOP this fall. Among independents who are most likely to vote, 53 percent say they’re voting for the Republican candidate, compared to just 33 percent who say they’ll vote for the Democrat.

And, what about the “youth vote” that Democrats were trying to re-inspire? Just 53 percent of 18-29 year old voters say they are certain to vote compared to 80 percent of those 65 years and older and 81 percent among those 50-64 years old.

Why does this matter to Democrats? Among younger voters, Obama’s approval rating is 58 percent; among the oldest group of voters it’s just 46 percent. When asked who they’d support in 2010, younger voters give Democrats an advantage of 51-47 percent. Those 65 and older give Republicans a 51-44 percent advantage.

Copyright 2010 ABC News Radio







ABC News Radio