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Entries in Gallup Poll (21)

Tuesday
Feb192013

Poll: Most Say US Still Going the Wrong Way

John Foxx/Thinkstock(WASHINGTON) -- Most Americans in a new February Gallup poll think the country is headed the wrong way although there was a little bit of improvement from last month, when just 25 percent were satisfied with the nation's direction and 23 percent said the same last December.

Today, 27 percent say they're satisfied with the "way things are going in the United States today," compared to 72 percent who see things headed in the wrong direction.

The numbers are particularly telling, depending on which side of the political fence you happen to be on.

Forty-seven percent of Democrats are now satisfied with the country's direction; A mere 9 percent of Republicans make the same claim.

Copyright 2013 ABC News Radio

Thursday
Jan032013

Most Feel Country Moving in Wrong Direction

JEWEL SAMAD/AFP/Getty Images(NEW YORK) -- Satisfied with the direction of the country?  Didn't think so.

You're more likely than not among the majority of Americans who feel that things aren't going right.  A USA Today/Gallup poll finds that only 23 percent of respondents believe the country is heading in the right direction.

What might even be more depressing is that 50 percent of Americans say that the nation's best days are behind us and that today's kids won't have it better than their parents, while 47 are still keeping hope alive for a brighter future.

President Obama is also taking a hit in the new survey, compared to four years ago at this time when 67 percent felt optimistic about his election and two-thirds also said it made them proud he was chosen as the country's leader.

Today, 52 percent are optimistic about Obama's reelection, while just under half say it makes them proud.

The president's overall approval rating stands at about 50 percent at the moment, according to the USA Today/Gallup poll.

Copyright 2013 ABC News Radio

Monday
Dec032012

Congress Gets Low Ethics Rating as 'Fiscal Cliff' Looms

Ingram Publishing/Thinkstock(WASHINGTON) -- Americans rate only car salespeople below Congress in terms of honesty and ethics.

Just one in 10 Americans rate the honesty and ethical standards of lawmakers as high or very high, according to a Gallup poll released Monday.  
People ranked nurses at the top of the 22 professions polled, with more than eight in 10 rating them as highly honest and ethical.  Rounding out the top five are pharmacists, medical doctors, engineers and dentists.

Car salespeople rank lowest, joining members of Congress, advertising practitioners, stockbrokers and HMO managers in the bottom five.  Journalists fell in the middle, just below bankers and right above business executives.

While many have never perceived Congress as very honest or ethical, the numbers in this latest poll are especially low.  That may be due in part to the looming "fiscal cliff," which could strike a blow to the fragile economy and send taxes up if Congress fails to act before the Jan. 1 deadline.

The highpoint for lawmakers in the last 15 years was just after the 9/11 terrorist attacks, in November 2001, according to the poll.  Last year's 7 percent honesty rating for members of Congress was the lowest on record.

While the poll tested only perceived honesty and ethical standards, the results line up with other polls that show the public generally holds politicians in low esteem.  Previous Gallup polls show that people hold generally negative views of the federal government and the job Congress is doing.

The poll results are based on telephone interviews conducted with 1,015 randomly selected adults from Nov. 26-29.

Copyright 2012 ABC News Radio

Monday
Oct082012

Will Mitt Romney's Debate Bounce Last?

DON EMMERT/AFP/Getty Images(PRINCETON, N.J.) -- Less than a week after the Denver debate, it's all tied up.

A Gallup tracking poll out Monday morning finds President Obama and Mitt Romney running even nationally -- 47 percent to 47 percent -- with just under a month to go before Election Day.

This represents a boost for Romney, who, before the debate, was trailing the president by five points, 50 percent to 45 percent. And the poll's other major finding leaves little doubt that last week's face-off in Denver played a role.

"Those who viewed the debate overwhelmingly believe Romney did a better job than Obama, 72 percent to 20 percent," according to Gallup's Jeffrey M. Jones. "Republicans were nearly unanimous in judging Romney the winner. But even Democrats rated Romney as doing a better job than Obama, 49 percent to 39 percent." The question now: Will Romney's bounce last?

As ABC News Political Director Amy Walter noted this weekend -- the fundamentals of the race still favor President Obama. Why?

For one thing, Americans were feeling better about the state of the economy and Obama's handling of it before last week's jobs report, which showed the unemployment rate dropping to 7.8 percent, came out. Americans don't think the economy is as bad today as it was a year ago. And, a small -- but growing number -- think it's getting better.

Second, the latest ABC News-Washington Post poll showed 47 percent approved and 52 percent disapproved of the job President Obama is doing on the economy -- the strongest the president has been on this question since the summer of 2010 and a 10-point improvement since last fall. Meanwhile, voters' confidence that Romney will do a better job on the economy has dropped significantly between August and September. Back in August, Romney had a seven-point lead on that question.

Third, thanks to the efforts of millions of dollars of negative advertising over the summer by Obama and his allies, and little to no effort by Romney to rebut them, Romney entered the fall campaign with more people feeling unfavorably toward him than favorably. Voters see Obama as better able to understand the economic problems of regular people and more in tune with the concerns of the middle class.

But there's a lot President Obama needs to worry about too. His voters are less enthusiastic and less committed to vote than Romney supporters.

A new Politico-George Washington University Battleground tracking poll was the latest to pick up on this trend, finding that 73 percent of those who support Obama said they are "extremely likely" to vote, compared to 86 percent of those who are in Romney's corner. More Republicans -- 84 percent -- said they are "extremely likely" to vote than Democrats -- 76 percent.

And, this lack of enthusiasm has been a problem even before Obama's poor debate performance, putting even more pressure on the next round of debates, including this Thursday's showdown in Kentucky between Vice President Joe Biden and Romney's running mate Paul Ryan moderated by ABC's Martha Raddatz.

Copyright 2012 ABC News Radio

Monday
Sep172012

Has Obama's Poll Bounce, Bounced Itself Out?

Tom Pennington/Getty Images(WASHINGTON) -- In the wake of the Democratic National Convention, Mitt Romney campaign pollster Neil Newhouse characterized the bump that President Obama was getting in the polls as a “sugar high” that would soon fade. Monday, it seems that the buzz has indeed worn off.

Fresh Gallup tracking numbers show President Obama’s convention bounce fading from a high of 7 percentage points last week to just 3 percentage points today. He now leads Mitt Romney, 48 percent to 45 percent nationally.

However, Obama’s job approval rating remains at a very strong 50 percent; this figure has historically served as a better judge of future success than the ballot test.

Copyright 2012 ABC News Radio

Tuesday
May152012

Obama Favored to Beat Romney, Despite Even Split in Support

Emmanuel Dunand/AFP/Alex Wong/Getty Images(PRINCETON, N.J.) -- A majority of Americans surveyed said President Obama would win re-election in November, according to a new Gallup poll released Tuesday.

The polling numbers -- 56 percent for Obama, 36 percent for Romney -- suggest that Democrats have more faith in their candidate than Republicans have in theirs. Among Democrats, 81 percent believe that Obama will win the election, while 68 percent of Republicans believe Romney will prevail.

More independents, 58 percent, chose Obama as the likely victor too, while 31 percent went for Romney.

How Obama comes out the favorite remains a conumdrum. A majority of polls so far has shown an even divide in support for the two candidates. The most recent Gallup tracking has Obama at 46 percent, and Romney at 45 percent -- a statistical tie given the margin of error of +/- 2 percent.

History has proven more kind to incumbents than to challengers in presidential races. It’s been 20 years, when Bill Clinton defeated President George H.W. Bush in 1992, since a sitting president was voted out of office after one term.

Past Gallup polls have also given better odds to incumbents. In 2004, more Americans believed George W. Bush would win over John Kerry. In 1996, Gallup polling indicated that voters believed Clinton would defeat Bob Dole.

Copyright 2012 ABC News Radio

Thursday
Apr262012

Poll: Young People May Not Bother to Vote for Obama

Emmanuel Dunand/AFP/Alex Wong/Getty Images(PRINCETON, N.J.) -- President Obama may still have the support of the youth population, but will they turn out to vote for him? A new poll indicates that is uncertain.

A Gallup poll conducted earlier this week surveyed voter registration and likelihood to vote, broken down by age groups. Among the 18-29 set, 60 percent indicated that they are registered to vote. Obama enjoys a wide lead over Romney in this age group: 64 percent support Obama while only 29 percent support Romney. However, when asked if they definitely will vote in the general election, only 56 percent replied yes.

Comparatively, every other age group surveyed -- 30 to 49, 50 to 64 and 65 and over -- had a yes response rate of 80 percent or more.

The youth vote is important to the Obama re-election campaign, as is evident from President Obama’s “college tour” in Colorado, North Carolina and Iowa this week. The Obama message for the week has focused on student loans, but his choice of college campuses in key swing states he carried in 2008 illustrates the importance of the young voters to team Obama.

Obama ran away with the youth vote in 2008: Voters between the ages of 18 and 29 chose him over McCain 66 percent to 32 percent, exit polls showed.

The actual percentage of young voters who turned out in 2008 was not much higher than in previous years: In 2008, 18 percent of the electorate was comprised of voters between 18 and 29. In 2004 that age set made up 17 percent of the electorate. The same was true for 2000. John Kerry and Al Gore won the youth vote in those years as well, but their margins were nowhere near Obama’s.

To be sure, the youth vote isn’t necessarily make or break for the campaign. In 2008 Obama carried every age group except for the 65-plus set, and the Gallup poll indicates that Obama still enjoys a lead among these same groups in a Romney match-up.

Copyright 2012 ABC News Radio

Monday
Apr022012

Obama Surpasses Romney in Swing States

JIM WATSON/AFP/Getty Images(WASHINGTON) -- A majority of registered voters across 12 swing states for the first time backs President Obama over likely GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney for the November election, according to a new USA Today/Gallup poll.

Obama leads Romney by a 51 to 42 percent margin, the poll found.  In February, the president trailed Romney in the swing state match-up, 46 to 48 percent.  The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 4 points.

The shifting tide of support in Obama’s favor was driven by women under 50, fewer than half of whom supported the president in a February USA Today/Gallup poll, but swung significantly the other way last month.

More than 60 percent of women under 50 said they prefer Obama, according to the poll. Romney nets just 30 percent support, down 14 points from a month earlier.

Among women overall, Obama holds an 18-point lead over Romney.  The former governor carries men by a single point.

Democrats have traditionally held an edge among women voters, with Democratic presidential candidates carrying the key demographic by more than 10 points in the last few general elections.  But the gender gap appears for now to be greater than it was during the 2008 election, when Obama won women voters by 12 points over Sen. John McCain.

The USA Today/Gallup swing state survey, conducted March 20-26, covered Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

Copyright 2012 ABC News Radio

Thursday
Feb092012

Congress' Approval At Record Low; Poll Finds Only bin Laden Less Popular

iStockPhoto/Thinkstock(WASHINGTON) -- There is no question that Americans are frustrated with their elected officials, but the latest Gallup poll shows that frustration has reached a fever pitch, plummeting Congress to its lowest approval rating in history.

Just 10 percent of Americans approve of the job Congress is doing, fewer than at any previous point in Gallup's nearly 40 years of polling.

With an approval rating that low, it's hard to find anything that is actually less popular than Congress.

In the nearly half a century-long history of Gallup polling, the only people or institutions that have been more unpopular than the current Congress are Fidel Castro, Saddam Hussein, Osama bin Laden and Mark Fuhrman, a detective in the O.J. Simpson murder trial, said Gallup's Editor in Chief Frank Newport.

The poll also found that the public disapproves of Washington's job performance by 86 percent, tying the high set last December.

Copyright 2012 ABC News Radio

Wednesday
Jan182012

Obama Sinking in Ohio, Deadlocked with Romney in Poll

Emmanuel Dunand/AFP/Alex Wong/Getty Images(HAMDEN, Conn.) -- President Obama has lost his luster among voters in swing state Ohio since 2008, but he remains in a steady tie with GOP front-runner Mitt Romney in a hypothetical 2012 race, according to the latest Quinnipiac University poll.

Ohioans said they’d prefer Obama over Romney, 45 to 41 percent, if the election were held today, a statistical dead heat given the poll’s margin of error of 4.2 percentage points.

The two have been deadlocked for the lead in each of five Quinnipiac polls in Ohio since July, with Obama staying closely in the race despite majorities of voters disapproving of his job performance and saying he does not deserve a second term.

Forty-eight percent of Ohio voters have a favorable impression of Obama, compared with 47 percent who do not, according to the poll.  Ohioans are equally divided over Romney, with 36 to 34 percent holding favorable-unfavorable views.

“With Ohio being perhaps the most important single state in the country when it comes to the Electoral College math, all indications are that if Romney is the Republican nominee, it will be a very, very close contest,” said Peter Brown of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute in Hamden, Conn.

Obama won Ohio by 5 percentage points over John McCain in 2008, carrying 52 percent of the vote, but his support has waned with the economy still struggling to recover.  The unemployment rate in Ohio stood at 8.5 percent in December, the same as the national average.

Only 44 percent of Ohioans said they approved of Obama in the Quinnipiac poll, conducted Jan. 9-16. Among all-important independents, a majority -- 53 percent -- said they disapproved.

No candidate for president since 1960 has won a general election without carrying Ohio.

Republicans say the numbers ought to be a “huge warning sign” for Obama in Ohio, which he has visited 16 times in the past three years.

In anticipation of the fights to come, the Obama campaign is preparing to substantially expand its presence and profile in the Buckeye State with plans to open “several dozen” new field offices in the next few months, a campaign official said.  The president’s operation already has three outposts in Ohio with a headquarters in Columbus.

Obama aides have credited successful Democratic grassroots organizing campaigns late last year with adding “thousands and thousands” of new voters to registration rolls. Volunteers have knocked on more than 100,000 doors and held at least 3,000 face-to-face conversations with prospective voters since April, an Obama campaign official said.

Copyright 2012 ABC News Radio







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